Montpellier vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
IST
1 - 2
MPL
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 1
NIC
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MPL
0 - 0
STR
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
MPL
4 - 1
SAI
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
FCG
3 - 0
MPL
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
PAU
1 - 1
VAN
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BOI
1 - 1
VAN
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
USB
2 - 1
VAN
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
VAN
3 - 2
CON
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
VAN
1 - 3
CLE
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |