Montleban vs Gouvy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montleban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
OPP
4 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
MES
29%
24%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 1
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
LAR
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 1
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
GOU
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GOU
1 - 3
CHA
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BOM
5 - 2
GOU
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GOU
3 - 0
WEL
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |