Montilla vs FC Aguilarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
ALM
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 2
MON
21%
23%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ADF
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
COS
0 - 2
MON
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FUT
1 - 0
RAM
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CIU
2 - 1
FUT
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FUT
3 - 1
ATC
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 1
FUT
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FUT
0 - 1
EGA
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |