Montilla vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
REC
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
COR
19%
23%
57%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
JER
1 - 2
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
TOR
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
AYA
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REC
0 - 0
CAS
18%
23%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
CDG
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |