Montija vs Cerezo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 0
MON
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
BUR
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDR
8 - 1
MON
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
ALC
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 3
MON
47%
20%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CAP
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 1
CER
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CER
2 - 3
GRO
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
SCC
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |