Copa Uruguay Last 16

Montevideo Wanderers vs River Plate Montevideo analysis

Montevideo Wanderers River Plate Montevideo
78 ELO 81
-7.5% Tilt -7.9%
489º General ELO ranking 516º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Montevideo Wanderers
26.1%
Draw
30.1%
River Plate Montevideo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
River Plate Montevideo
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevideo Wanderers
-3%
-14%
River Plate Montevideo

ELO progression

Montevideo Wanderers
River Plate Montevideo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
79 82 3 0
02 Dec. 2023
FEN
Fénix
1 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
34%
28%
38%
79 75 4 0
29 Nov. 2023
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
3 - 0
Danubio
DAN
43%
27%
30%
78 79 1 +1
26 Nov. 2023
NAC
Nacional
3 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
60%
23%
18%
78 82 4 0
20 Nov. 2023
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
2 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
40%
27%
33%
77 80 3 +1

Matches

River Plate Montevideo
River Plate Montevideo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
2 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
60%
22%
18%
80 82 2 0
02 Dec. 2023
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 2
Montevideo City Torque
TOR
52%
24%
23%
80 76 4 0
30 Nov. 2023
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
55%
24%
21%
80 82 2 0
26 Nov. 2023
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 0
La Luz FC
LUZ
52%
25%
24%
80 76 4 0
20 Nov. 2023
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
2 - 1
River Plate Montevideo
RIV
40%
27%
33%
80 77 3 0