Montevideo Wanderers vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
3 - 1
REN
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 0
MWA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
3 - 3
PEÑ
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 2
MWA
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
TOR
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
RIV
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
RIV
34%
28%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 3
RIV
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOS
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |