Montevideo Wanderers vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 3
MWA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 0
ETS
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
MWA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 1
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
MWA
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEN
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
FEN
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 1
DAN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |