Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
2 - 0
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 1
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FEN
3 - 3
MWA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ETS
3 - 2
MWA
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
MWA
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 3
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 3
DEF
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LFC
2 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |