Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
16º
15º
20
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
MWA
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 0
MWA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
CEL
48%
28%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 1
FEN
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 3
BOS
5%
12%
84%
|
77 | 11 | 66 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
BOS
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOS
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |