Montevarchi Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MON
3 - 3
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
MON
27%
28%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
24%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOL
68%
18%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
GRA
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |