Monterroso B vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+492%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterroso B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
66%
17%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
0 - 0
MON
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
MIL
69%
16%
15%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SCO
4 - 0
MON
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SLU
1 - 0
CAT
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
SLU
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SLU
3 - 2
BEC
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLU
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SLU
0 - 4
FRI
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |