Liga MX Apertura Round 8

Monterrey vs FC Juárez analysis

Monterrey FC Juárez
84 ELO 71
-0.2% Tilt -8.2%
315º General ELO ranking 763º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Monterrey
21.3%
Draw
14.2%
FC Juárez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
FC Juárez
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+10%
+4%
FC Juárez

Points and table prediction

Monterrey
Their league position
FC Juárez
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
17
11º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cruz Azul
42
42
100%
Toluca
35
35
100%
Tigres UANL
34
34
100%
Monterrey
31
31
0%
Pumas UNAM
31
31
0%
Atl. San Luis
30
30
100%
América
27
27
100%
Tijuana
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
25
25
100%
Atlas FC
10º
22
22
10º
100%
León
11º
18
18
11º
100%
FC Juárez
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Necaxa
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Puebla
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Mazatlán
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Pachuca
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Querétaro
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Monterrey
FC Juárez
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Monterrey
FC Juárez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2024
SAN
Santos Laguna
0 - 2
Monterrey
MON
38%
26%
36%
83 78 5 0
01 Sep. 2024
MON
Monterrey
1 - 2
Toluca
TOL
43%
25%
33%
83 83 0 0
24 Aug. 2024
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 2
Monterrey
MON
30%
27%
44%
83 74 9 0
17 Aug. 2024
PUE
Puebla
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
29%
26%
45%
83 71 12 0
04 Aug. 2024
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
47%
24%
29%
83 82 1 0

Matches

FC Juárez
FC Juárez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
34%
27%
39%
70 76 6 0
01 Sep. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
5 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
65%
22%
14%
71 83 12 -1
25 Aug. 2024
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
57%
23%
19%
71 76 5 0
10 Aug. 2024
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 3
Colorado Rapids
COR
21%
21%
59%
71 82 11 0
05 Aug. 2024
STC
St. Louis City
1 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
42%
24%
34%
71 68 3 0