CONCACAF Champions Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Monterrey vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JUA
0 - 3
MON
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
DCU
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 2
CIN
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 0
CAV
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |