Liga MX Finals - Apertura Final
Global 6-4
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PUE
4 - 4
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |