Montehermoso vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
14º
12º
39
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JER
0 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 0
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
MOR
12%
22%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
17%
24%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 2
CAL
29%
25%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JER
3 - 2
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDF
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
68%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |