Montego Bay United vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
10º
41
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 1
HAR
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIO
2 - 0
FSC
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 2
LIO
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 3
LIO
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |