Montegiorgio vs Nereto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
MON
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 3
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nereto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
SFF
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
AAC
5 - 0
NER
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NER
0 - 4
REC
9%
17%
75%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NER
0 - 2
PIN
13%
19%
69%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
2 - 0
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |