Montegiorgio vs Aurora Alto Casertano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UST
0 - 3
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SSS
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Aurora Alto Casertano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
AAC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AAC
2 - 3
SSS
6%
13%
82%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
4 - 1
AAC
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AAC
1 - 2
CHI
13%
20%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |