Montedio Yamagata vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
AWJ
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
GIF
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
MON
80%
15%
5%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
KYO
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
THE
2 - 0
MON
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
THE
1 - 0
SON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
THE
61%
23%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
THE
2 - 1
MIT
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
KAM
1 - 3
THE
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
THE
2 - 0
MON
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |