J2 League Jor. 24

Montedio Yamagata vs Albirex Niigata analysis

Montedio Yamagata Albirex Niigata
60 ELO 55
0.4% Tilt -10.2%
1609º General ELO ranking 552º
29º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Montedio Yamagata
23.5%
Draw
17.9%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Montedio Yamagata
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montedio Yamagata
-16%
+5%
Albirex Niigata

ELO progression

Montedio Yamagata
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montedio Yamagata
Montedio Yamagata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2018
TOC
Tochigi
1 - 0
Montedio Yamagata
MON
28%
29%
43%
62 53 9 0
11 Jul. 2018
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Montedio Yamagata
MON
76%
16%
8%
60 79 19 +2
07 Jul. 2018
YOK
Yokohama
1 - 1
Montedio Yamagata
MON
51%
26%
23%
60 62 2 0
30 Jun. 2018
MON
Montedio Yamagata
2 - 0
Gifu
GIF
47%
26%
27%
59 58 1 +1
23 Jun. 2018
MON
Montedio Yamagata
3 - 2
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
45%
28%
28%
58 60 2 +1

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2018
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Yokohama
YOK
30%
27%
43%
55 62 7 0
11 Jul. 2018
FCT
FC Tokyo
3 - 1
Albirex Niigata
ALB
77%
16%
7%
56 75 19 -1
07 Jul. 2018
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
62%
22%
16%
56 64 8 0
30 Jun. 2018
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
48%
27%
25%
56 55 1 0
24 Jun. 2018
MAC
Machida Zelvia
0 - 0
Albirex Niigata
ALB
60%
23%
17%
56 65 9 0
X