Montecarlo vs SD Tarazona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
UDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 2
UNI
11%
18%
71%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UDM
4 - 0
LAA
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
UDM
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Tarazona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
LAA
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
TAR
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TAR
3 - 0
GAR
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDE
2 - 0
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
3 - 2
SAA
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |