Montecarlo vs Sariñena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ABI
2 - 3
UDM
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 0
DEL
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ONT
4 - 2
UDM
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
2 - 0
SAB
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
GUR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 2
CFV
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 2
SAR
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
ADT
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 2
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |