Montecarlo vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 0
UDM
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UDM
5 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
UDS
0 - 1
UDM
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDB
3 - 1
UDM
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FUE
0 - 2
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
FUE
57%
23%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 2
ATC
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
FUE
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GIN
1 - 0
FUE
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |