Montecarlo vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDM
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 0
PED
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 2
UDM
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDM
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
UDM
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
UDS
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAL
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PED
1 - 1
CEL
9%
18%
74%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
FUE
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 1
CEL
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |