Montecarlo vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CDU
0 - 0
UDM
39%
26%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDM
4 - 1
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
UDM
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
TAU
57%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UDS
2 - 0
UDM
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
PED
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FUE
0 - 0
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
CDM
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |