Monte Louro vs Castriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Louro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PSD
3 - 3
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
OUT
58%
21%
21%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
CAM
33%
23%
45%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 7
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 3
CAS
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 5
CAB
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |