Monte Azul vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
ITU
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
PAL
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
OES
2 - 2
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OES
2 - 2
PAU
48%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PAU
0 - 2
MIR
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
PAU
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
PAU
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |