Monte Azul vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAN
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ATI
3 - 0
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |