Monte Azul vs Grêmio Prudente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
INT
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
NOR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CIA
2 - 0
MON
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
57%
25%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
AEA
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
GRE
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |