Montceau vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
JUR
0 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
OLY
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
SPI
2 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 2
SOC
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
STR
3 - 0
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
RED
3 - 0
SPI
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RED
0 - 3
BRC
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
RED
1 - 3
ETG
35%
27%
37%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
OLY
1 - 2
RED
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 1
RED
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |