Montbau vs Barceloneta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PBC
1 - 3
MON
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
SPG
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 2
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CER
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
MON
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barceloneta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
3 - 1
BAR
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
BBV
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PBA
2 - 3
BAR
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEC
47%
21%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |