CD Montalbeño vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Montalbeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 0
MON
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ANT
2 - 3
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
DHE
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 3
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
CAM
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NER
2 - 1
DHE
18%
24%
59%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
NER
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NER
0 - 2
CAM
28%
26%
46%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 2
NER
77%
16%
8%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NER
0 - 3
UDM
26%
25%
50%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |