Monopoli vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
REG
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
SIR
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAV
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 0
GAV
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 1
ACS
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
USR
2 - 4
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |