Monopoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 2
MON
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FON
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
REG
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 1
MES
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MES
0 - 2
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
USF
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |