Monopoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
BAR
10%
19%
72%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 2
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
POM
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 1
MON
19%
25%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
REG
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
67%
20%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
MES
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
4 - 2
SAL
17%
26%
58%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MES
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +1 |