Monmouth Town FC vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monmouth Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NOW
1 - 5
MON
12%
17%
70%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MON
5 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
PON
57%
22%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TAT
2 - 5
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WES
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |