Monforte vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PEA
4 - 4
MON
7%
12%
81%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BNY
4 - 2
MON
7%
12%
81%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIA
0 - 5
MON
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
ASP
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 1
MON
21%
19%
61%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ESI
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
VIL
36%
23%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PEA
2 - 4
NOV
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
BNY
36%
22%
41%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIA
2 - 2
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |