Monforte vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BIG
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 2
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ALT
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
MON
36%
22%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
HOR
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 3
RAF
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 2
HON
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 2
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 3
RAF
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |