Monesterio vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
MON
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
UDF
72%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 1
MON
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 4
MON
21%
19%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
ACE
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SEG
2 - 0
ATH
61%
20%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 4
UDF
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 4
ATH
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |