Moneni Pirates vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moneni Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HIG
2 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
ROY
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
GRE
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MBA
1 - 0
DNV
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 0
MBA
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
MBA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MBA
1 - 0
NHO
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROY
1 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |