Mondercange vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
13º
12º
70
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DIF
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
JEU
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
MON
59%
21%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
WIL
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 1
PRO
24%
26%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 3
PRO
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
KAE
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
F91
1 - 4
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |