Moncarapachense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
AMO
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
ALJ
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LGC
1 - 2
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 1
MOU
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VST
2 - 1
MOU
78%
16%
6%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 1
ALJ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLH
1 - 1
MOU
81%
14%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 1
EDL
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |