Moncarapachense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EVN
3 - 1
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
CAS
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +6 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 1
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
OLH
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
MOU
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
IDE
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
LOU
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
IDE
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |