Moncarapachense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
6 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 2
GDF
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AMO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |