Monção vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
6 - 2
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
MON
2 - 4
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAC
10%
18%
72%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
RON
10%
18%
72%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
VIA
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
VIA
2 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIA
3 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
VIA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 1
PON
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |