Monaro Panthers vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TUG
1 - 1
MON
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
GUN
0 - 4
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 2
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
QCS
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
YOO
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 4
COO
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
CAN
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
0 - 2
YOO
74%
14%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
1 - 5
GUN
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
OKF
2 - 3
TUG
67%
17%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |