First Division Round 24

Monaghan United vs St. Francis FC analysis

Monaghan United St. Francis FC
52 ELO 44
6.2% Tilt 3.3%
18623º General ELO ranking 29610º
57º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Monaghan United
20%
Draw
16.1%
St. Francis FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Monaghan United
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.1%
Win probability
St. Francis FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Monaghan United
St. Francis FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monaghan United
Monaghan United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2000
MON
Monaghan United
5 - 2
Limerick
LIM
49%
25%
27%
51 54 3 0
22 Jan. 2000
DUN
Dundalk
0 - 2
Monaghan United
MON
62%
22%
16%
50 61 11 +1
16 Jan. 2000
MON
Monaghan United
3 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
29%
27%
44%
48 62 14 +2
02 Jan. 2000
ATH
Athlone Town
2 - 0
Monaghan United
MON
49%
25%
25%
49 50 1 -1
27 Dec. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
2 - 2
Home Farm
HFA
52%
24%
24%
49 49 0 0

Matches

St. Francis FC
St. Francis FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2000
KIL
Kilkenny City
1 - 0
St. Francis FC
STF
77%
15%
8%
44 61 17 0
21 Jan. 2000
STF
St. Francis FC
0 - 3
Longford Town
LON
26%
26%
48%
45 62 17 -1
14 Jan. 2000
STF
St. Francis FC
2 - 2
Home Farm
HFA
40%
26%
34%
45 51 6 0
03 Jan. 2000
LIM
Limerick
0 - 1
St. Francis FC
STF
61%
22%
18%
43 55 12 +2
29 Dec. 1999
STF
St. Francis FC
0 - 3
Bray Wanderers
BRW
23%
25%
52%
44 62 18 -1