Monaghan United vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LON
3 - 0
MON
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
MON
0 - 2
WEX
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
MON
1 - 2
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
DUN
3 - 0
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
SHE
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
SFI
0 - 0
SHE
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 2
SFI
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
SFI
1 - 1
DUN
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 0
SFI
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
SFI
2 - 2
SHE
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |