Monaghan United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
LIM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
CAO
0 - 1
MON
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
MON
6 - 1
TUT
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2010 |
DER
2 - 0
FIN
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 7
DER
13%
25%
62%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
SHE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WEX
1 - 5
DER
13%
26%
61%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
DER
3 - 2
GAL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |